The Covid Pamdemic is Pretty Much Over for Oklahoma as it Continues to be a Disease of the Ignorant

The latest Covid info from the Oklahoma Department of Health is out and it is fairly encouraging.  

95% of the deaths are in those over 50 years of age despite these folks being only one third of the cases, meaning the Delta variant is contagious but as the info will show below, Covid is basically affecting the elderly and perhaps taking out those that would likely die soon anyway.

The new cases are down 4.5% which is great and around 66% of all people are vaccinated with both doses or the single dose version of the vaccine.

The breakthrough cases, where vaccinated people come down with a case of covid,  are low, only two tenths of a percent for the Moderna vaccine, three tenths of a percent for the Pfizer, and four tenths of a percent for the Johnson and Johnson vaccine.   There are a lot of crazy people on Facebook claiming that the vaccine doesn't work, I would say less than one percent failure rate is pretty low for such a rushed vaccine.    Yet this new faction of anti Trump/anti vaccine zealots is facing a headwind of condemnation and ridicule.

Compared to the unvaccinated, the breakthrough cases are under 5% of all cases, meaning around 95% of all cases are in the unvaccinated.   Among the unvaccinated 83% of the hospitalized cases are between 36 years of age and 65 or older.  Among the vaccinated  73% of the hospitalized cases are over 65 years of age.

If you catch Covid right now you have a 1.5% chance  of dying from it.  If you die from Covid there is a 56% chance you had one or more co morbidity.

And here is where it gets interesting, at the top of page 28 you see a graph comparing the estimated deaths that Oklahoma would have experienced regardless of any pandemic with the Covid deaths overlaid.  The blue columns that project over the orange line are the actual Covid excess deaths, starting around May of 2020 and dropping off around March of 2021 when the vaccines started being freely available.  There have been a few weeks where the actual Covid deaths dropped below what would have been expected or inevitable deaths, something I would think is due to people traveling less, practicing better sanitation, and simply being hyper vigilant of health issues.

Covid in Oklahoma continues to be a disease that is 95% in the unvaccinated population and we as a society have learned to treat it effectively to the point where Covid is taking the elderly that are in poor health, little different than a regular flue epidemic would do.

There is no need for shut down or masks nor should our schools subject the kids to extreme measures.  The teachers ought to be encouraged to be vaccinated and the rest of us ought to go on about our lives at this point.

Being Ignorant Doesn't Make you Right, it Just Makes you Ignorant

 Oh the fun on Facebook where anyone with an opinion gets to mislead others who are too lazy or too full of confirmation bias to bother to read the actual study that was posted.

So the covidiots are lathered up about a British study done on the death rates of the dozen or so Covid variants and one knucklehead finds a couple of cells in a chart that put her panties in a twist.

"Maggie Hartsfield

FULLY Vaccinated Group 679 Deaths out of 73,372 Positive cases while the Unvaccinated group has 390 deaths out of 183,133 Positive Cases “

But there is a problem, Maggie is either lying or she is too ignorant to understand the charts in the study showing the results. Now there is nothing wrong with being ignorant unless you are so arrogant that you don't know you are ignorant. Most of us are ignorant of many things in life but we do not pretend we are knowledgeable and speak on things we do not understand.

Oklahoma Freedom Rally Organizers Claim "5,500" Attendees, Perhaps 1/10th to 1/8th the Actual Numbers

Man, nothing is worse than a liar because no one trusts a word out of their mouth once they have been caught.  Well organizers at the weekend Freedom Rally at the Capitol got caught telling one hell of  a lie this weekend, claiming that 5500 people showed up.

What you are looking at to the right is the 4th floor of the Capitol.  There is a 60' x 60' square that runs from those pillars in the center holding up the fifth floor hallway back to the camera side of the picture and from Senate lobby to House lobby.   That 60' square block has 3600 square feet.  But you have a big honking circle in the center that removes around 855 square feet, assuming a radius of 16.5 feet (pie are square, no, cake and cornbread is square, pie is round),. Then see those big blocks on the left and right with columns and a dark arch?  Those are small rooms that are not quite square, kind of chopped off, 255 square feet each in floor space x 4 units, around 1755 square feet of space taken out of the 60' x 60' area, leaving 1845 square feet.  

Now there is more space but let's do a spot check on that picture which by the way has 255 people in it if you blow it up and use paint to mark the heads and count each one.

Now picture a normal crowd with people a half arms length from each other, around 10 square feet per person.  A very crowded crowd might be 4.5 square feet per person.  Now think of a mosh pit, people packed like sardines, 2.5 square feet per person.

Loose crowd, might be 92 people there in that picture of  half of the area , way short.   At 4.5 square foot per person, 205 people, that is close considering that some of the crowd is under the columns that are in the North hall.  I would say that 4.5 square feet per person is a good estimate.

So you have the 3600 square feet of the 60' x 60' square that makes up the central part of the building minus the 1755 square feet for the big circle and the four triangular rooms, 1845 square feet.  And if the North hall on the 4th floor was full all the way back to the end wall that is another 540 square feet, then IF the House and Senate lobby was similarly full including the areas that are blocked by the outer walls, add another 648 square feet.  In reality maybe people would stand in the doorways, around one third of that space.  But let's be generous.  In all 3033 square feet are available if every square foot was filled, which it wasn't.  That would be around 674 people to fill the center of the capitol from Senate chamber to house chamber, and from North wall to the staircase on the South wall. Including behind the four big triangular columns and the House side where it seems they kept clear for the speakers and groupies.

674 maximum on the 4th floor.  You can see maybe fifty on both areas on the fifth floor.   But counting the empty space on the speakers side, around 650 people would be a generous count.  That balances well with the 255 people counted in that picture above.

Were there some outside?  Probably but not many.  A few hundred perhaps.

And below is a color coded floor plan, yellow is the area covered by the picture at the top with 255 people in the picture. The red lines are all the available area on the 4th floor.  Saying there were 650 people attending is extremely generous.

So why would the organizers lie about the numbers?  This was an abolitionist event with most of the attendees being abolitionists.   As always these folks inflate their numbers by a magnitude of ten trying to hide the fact of how few there truly are.  And multiple TV stories mentioned the 5500 count by the organizers while saying "hundreds" attended the rally inside and out.

These people are no better than the liberals when it comes to being honest.   Anymore when I see a preacher in politics I assume they are no better than the worst liberal tyrant and about as believable.

Accounatability Time for the Senate

The Senate did poorly this year with the highest score being a 66 however there were several that scored that high.

And most of these  bills were signed into law by Governor Stitt.  Most of them actually.... 

As always we look at Trump's positions on the issues and grade the votes accordingly.  Trump was always tough on crime but willing to give a hand up once the criminal paid his debt to society.  We did include two 2nd Amendment bills that were scrubbed from the House version, we thought that Trump wouldn't have thought they were bad law whereas we thought they were, but we had a lot more bills to use in scoring the House so these two bills were left in the Senate version.  The bills limited the places where Open Carry could be done and extended rights to government employees that were restricted to taxpayers.  Both of these bills were pushed by Dollar Don's OK2A group despite the fact that they restricted the 2nd Amendment.

Accounatability Time for the House of Representatives

This index was scored months ago but with the Bennett administration running off the rails we are just now getting around to publishing it.

One of the biggest disappointments was how many of these feces festooned bills were signed into law by Governor Stitt.  Most of them actually.... 

As always we look at Trump's positions on the issues and grade the votes accordingly.  Trump was always tough on crime but willing to give a hand up once the criminal paid his debt to society.  There were two very important 2nd Amendment bills that were scrubbed simply because we thought that Trump wouldn't have thought they were bad law whereas we thought they were.  The bills limited the places where Open Carry could be done and extended rights to government employees that were restricted to taxpayers.

Time for John Bennett to Fix some Problems or Resign

Those that have read this blog this summer know the depth of the dysfunction in the Oklahoma GOP. The straw that broke the camel's back was the lock down of the State Committee meeting, an illegal and ill advised act that served no purpose other than to exclude a few people in a vain attempt to silence criticism.

So on Friday the 23^rd I sent a certified letter to the GOP headquarters along with four copies of the letter to the four members of the Central Committee of the Oklahoma GOP. The letter was a demand letter, giving ten days from the postmark for the Chairman of the GOP to set a hearing for Rule 3A violations or face the possibility that a lawsuit would follow to enforce the rules of the GOP and enforce my rights.

Single Issue Activists are Bad for the GOP and Bad for Liberty

It must be frustrating for some of the old RINOs to watch the new administration flounder and struggle and see the Party suffer. New blood is sometimes needed for an older system but sometimes there is a lot of wasted blood in the process as the newcomers are ignorant and even arrogant, not understanding the rules and legalities, not respecting the traditions of the Party. Tearing down fences without asking why a fence was put up in the first place.

This last week's PR nightmare for the Bennett administration has gone nationwide, even international. Part of it is deserved; you don't compare minor distractions to the Holocaust. You just don't disrespect what the Jews went through especially when what you are calling for is to restrict private property rights and force new “rights” protection upon employers without regard for the consequences. The GOP ought to be about minimizing the role of government in our lives and businesses, not enlarging it.