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Conservative Blood Bath on Tuesday Night? Or was it?
No doubt, we lost some good guys in the primary and runoff elections.
- Travis Dunlap,
- George Faught,
- Bobby Cleveland (not 100% by any means, but conservative on some issues),
- Mike Ritze,
Added to those in the primary that lost like Chuck Strom. A few excellent challengers like;
- Dave Spaulding,
- Brian Hobbs,
- Nicole Nixon
were weeded out in the runoffs. There were bright spots like;
- Denise Crosswhite Hader
- Dan Hicks,
both conservatives, that won their House seats.
But the 2018 Oklahoma GOP Platform Index looks like this when you select those that scored above 50 points out of 100. The blue text are somewhat safe, green is gone, red text is losses:
The losses were due to a near perfect storm caused by the teachers unions, the wind energy tax credit recipients, and dark money funneled by Representatives;
- Chris Kannaday,
- Josh West,
- Kevin AKA "Brownie" McDugle.
This unholy trio targeted nearly every high ranking house member on the 2018 GOP Platform Index.
Yet the runoff wasn't a complete blood bath for conservatives and it was just as punishing for the RINOs. Below are the winners and losers for conservatives in the House Republican races and statewide races:
- Governor, Stitt won, a win for conservatives as although he is flawed he is a heck of a lot better than Mick Cornett.
- Lt. Governor, 'Made in China' Matt Pinnell won which is a loss for conservatives as he is setting himself up for a run for Governor some day.
- Auditor, Cindy Byrd won which is a win for conservatives.
- AG, Mike Hunter won which is a big loss for conservatives.
- Superintendent of Schools, Hofmeister won which is a huge loss for conservatives.
- Labor Commissioner, Osborn won which is a loss for conservatives.
- Corporation Commissioner, Bob Anthony won which is a win for conservatives.
A mixed bag in all but it could have been worse.
The House races, bold text are actual losses for conservatives:
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Count em, around 24 teachers or sympathizers. Fourteen RINOs either lost or were forced out by term limits, some of which were leadership members. But hey, they might just keep Brownie McDugle after the General election, right?
Do you get it? A pack of teachers that owe their political career to steering massive tax increases and shifting money from other parts of government are going to be the largest and most cohesive blocks in the state legislature come the first week in February. And a weakened RINO clique. And an oil industry that is looking at some huge gross production tax increases, gutting the super low GPT tax schemes, the recipients of which are mostly out of state fracking companies from Houston. As are the wind energy tax credits...
Competition for both the Speaker seat and leadership itself and for the limited amount of revenue and limited amount (surely I jest?) of new taxation is going to be fierce. The Chamber of Commerce crowd at the Capitol might well get pushed out by these new special interest drones. The opportunity might well be laid for a conservative resurgence in 2020 if the teachers and tall building crowd go hog wild on new taxes and fee increases.
The prediction will be that the upcoming legislative session is going to be chaotic at a level yet seen in Oklahoma. Discipline isn't going to be present in sufficient quantity to split the existing revenue pie; instead huge pressure for new taxes and increased or new fees will rule the thought processes. There will be too few conservatives left to band with Democrats to stop runaway tax increases, perhaps not even enough to stop the tax increases at the 75% margin required by SQ 640.
And what do we conservatives do? Tell you next week. One thing is for certain, social conservatives and fiscal conservatives better band together or we both lose.
